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Former New York Governor Andrew Cuomo is emerging as a leading contender for the Democratic nomination for New York City mayor. Recent polling suggests that Cuomo holds a significant double-digit advantage over his closest rival, Zohran Mamdani.
A Marist College survey, reported by Politico, indicates that Cuomo commands 44% of the vote in the first round of ranked-choice voting. This positions him well ahead of Mamdani, who is at 22%. The polling data reflects a consistent lead for Cuomo across all six rounds of the voting process, with his advantage fluctuating between 20% and 24% overall.
In addition to Mamdani, the Marist poll identifies two other Democratic candidates, City Council Speaker Adrienne Adams and City Comptroller Brad Lander, as garnering double-digit percentages. However, both Adams and Lander were eliminated by the fourth and fifth rounds, respectively, leaving the primary largely focused on Cuomo and Mamdani. The other candidates in the primary appear to struggle in single digits, with only two advancing past the first round, while all five were out by the third round.
Despite polling strength, the Cuomo campaign has not been without its complications. The former governor has experienced significant challenges in securing matching campaign funds. In April, the New York City Campaign Finance Board revealed that over 20% of Cuomo’s disclosures contained errors, which complicates his funding strategy.
The board also stated that Cuomo’s campaign failed to meet the requisite two-part threshold necessary for publicly matching funds. These criteria demand contributions from at least 1,000 distinct individuals and total contributions of at least $250,000. The Cuomo campaign attributed the funding denial to a technical software error.
In another blow to his campaign, Cuomo’s efforts to secure matching funds faced further obstacles on Monday, when the campaign was penalized approximately $622,000 due to alleged coordination with a super PAC. This marks yet another financial hurdle in Cuomo’s bid for mayor.
Cuomo’s past controversies, particularly his resignation and response to the COVID-19 pandemic, continue to shadow his campaign. Current New York City Mayor Eric Adams has called for Cuomo to address questions concerning allegations related to nursing home deaths during the pandemic. Adams noted that while these issues should not automatically disqualify Cuomo, the families who lost loved ones deserve clarity on the situation.
As he prepares for reelection, Mayor Adams has opted to run as an independent, diverging from the Democratic line he previously followed. During the 2021 election cycle, he succeeded after eight rounds of voting.
In discussions regarding his campaign, Adams recently stated that he is committed to running until the end, emphasizing that his decision to run as an independent aligns with the current dynamics of the race. He recognizes the challenge of shifting electoral numbers at this stage.
“I’m not running on the Democratic line. It’s just not realistic to turn around my numbers and to run a good campaign from where we are right now,” Adams explained in an interview.
As the Democratic primary approaches, Cuomo must navigate a landscape filled with both voter support and significant obstacles. Although he holds a solid lead in the polls, the financial challenges and his past controversies could impact his campaign’s momentum as voters head to the polls.
With the city’s political landscape rapidly evolving, many are watching closely to see if Cuomo can leverage his current standing into victory, or if the obstacles in his path will hinder his aspirations for a political comeback in New York City.