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Once affiliated with al Qaeda and the Islamic State, Ahmed al-Sharaa is now leading Syria’s delicate transition after the fall of the Bashar Assad regime. As he prepares to address the global audience at the United Nations General Assembly, al-Sharaa aims to present a new vision for his war-torn nation.
This event marks a significant milestone as it is the first time since 1967 that a Syrian president will participate in high-level discussions at the U.N. General Assembly, highlighting its importance, according to Natasha Hall, a senior associate at the Center for Strategic and International Studies. Hall stated that on this historic occasion, al-Sharaa intends to assert that Syria is entering a new era after overthrowing the brutal Assad dictatorship.
He is expected to focus on the progress made in Syria and advocate for the recognition of the nation’s new leadership along with the lifting of U.N. sanctions that continue to impede Syria’s recovery. A high-ranking government official indicated that al-Sharaa would emphasize Syria’s vision for stability, reconstruction, and national reconciliation during his address.
Among the critical topics al-Sharaa plans to raise at the UNGA are the urgent need to lift unilateral sanctions hindering Syria’s recovery, the challenge of combating terrorism in all its forms, the repatriation of displaced Syrians and refugees, and the advancement of a genuinely inclusive political process reflective of the Syrian people’s will.
Since leading the Islamist rebel group Hay’at Tahrir al-Sham to victory against Assad, al-Sharaa has transitioned from his military attire to Western-style suits. He is actively striving to improve Syria’s international standing by engaging with European and Western diplomats and politicians.
Al-Sharaa received notable backing from former President Donald Trump during their meeting in Riyadh, Saudi Arabia, in May. Trump described al-Sharaa as a “young, attractive, tough guy” and suggested that the U.S. might lift sanctions imposed during the Assad era while contemplating normalization of relations.
Hall observed that al-Sharaa could seek to establish a security arrangement between Israel and Syria on the sidelines of the UNGA. He reportedly desires a version of Syria that coexists peacefully with its neighbors and does not pose a threat, particularly to Israel.
Additionally, al-Sharaa is focused on acquiring crucial reconstruction aid to rehabilitate a nation devastated by over 13 years of civil war, with reconstruction costs estimated between $250 billion and $400 billion. According to the U.N., about 16.7 million people, or approximately 75 percent of Syria’s population, urgently require humanitarian assistance.
Since taking power, al-Sharaa has made promises of an inclusive government representing all religious and ethnic groups, along with a commitment to uphold women’s rights and protect minority rights.
However, while there is optimism for a new chapter in Syria’s governance, some experts caution against premature judgments regarding al-Sharaa as a reliable Western ally due to his past affiliations with terrorist groups. Robert Ford, the former U.S. Ambassador to Syria, emphasized that al-Sharaa is not a democrat, pointing out that he ruled Idlib without sharing power and placed loyalists in essential government roles.
The crucial question remains whether al-Sharaa will eventually respect individual political and civil liberties, allowing citizens the freedom to organize and protest. Ford noted that, despite his heavy-handed leadership in Idlib, Syria currently offers more political freedom than many neighboring countries.
Ambassador Barbara Leaf, who previously served as the Assistant Secretary of State for Near Eastern Affairs, visited Damascus and met with al-Sharaa in December. This marked the highest-level contact with Syrian leadership since the civil war began in 2011. Leaf described her impressions of al-Sharaa as someone well-prepared for diplomatic discussions, displaying a readiness to engage on the topics she raised.
During their discussions, al-Sharaa reassured her that Syria would not act as a staging ground for threats to its neighbors, expressing a commitment to restrain Iranian and Hezbollah activities within Syrian territory. Leaf noted a perceptible shift in al-Sharaa’s demeanor from that of a military commander to a political leader.
Despite his pragmatic approach, the true intentions of al-Sharaa as the new leader remain uncertain. Leaf pointed out that while he appears to be distancing himself from his jihadist past, it is unknown how far he is willing to go in shaping an Islamist style of governance.
Concerns linger over the close associates of al-Sharaa in the transitional government, many of whom are linked to HTS and other armed factions. Caroline Rose, director of The New Lines Institute, highlighted that al-Sharaa navigates a delicate balancing act between liberal opposition voices, former regime officials, and Islamist proponents within his government.
The complexity of Syria’s political landscape has resulted in both challenge and gridlock, especially during crises. For instance, the government has struggled to manage sectarian violence and radical Sunni fighters during flare-ups in regions like Latakia and Suweida. The situation escalated to the point of requiring Israeli military intervention to safeguard the Druze minority.
As the country grapples with spiraling ethnic tensions, the dwindling Christian community has also faced severe violence, with attacks perpetrated by ISIS and others. Recently, a suicide bombing at a Greek Orthodox church led to the tragic deaths of 22 worshippers.
Moving forward, the new authorities must also find a way to integrate Kurdish forces in Northeast Syria, where the Syrian Democratic Forces have played a key role in the U.S.-backed fight against ISIS. Any disruptions in this integration process could potentially lead to a resurgence of terrorist activities.
As Syria’s leadership settles into its new role, the road to recovery and stability is fraught with challenges. While al-Sharaa has the potential to usher in a new era for Syria, the lingering concerns regarding his past, the internal power struggles, and the complex regional dynamics will undoubtedly shape the future of this war-torn nation.