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The trade conflict between the United States and China is evolving. It is shifting from a focus on tariffs to a battle of strategic influence, with Beijing quietly orchestrating the next moves.
As President Trump amplifies his rhetoric, China is skillfully adjusting its trade policies. The nation is employing export controls, manipulating critical mineral availability, and reconfiguring supply chains. This strategic maneuvering compels Washington to respond to Beijing’s strategies rather than dictating the course of events, a reality that will impact Trump’s upcoming discussions with Chinese President Xi Jinping.
This Thursday, the leaders of the world’s two largest economies are scheduled to meet during the Asia-Pacific Economic Cooperation Summit in Busan, South Korea. This will mark their first direct encounter since Trump returned to the presidency.
For Trump, this meeting holds significant weight, serving as a platform for showcasing his economic agenda. He has anchored his political resurgence on the assertion of American economic strength, framing his approach around reclaiming U.S. leadership in global trade and emerging technologies. By doing so, his administration has urged both allies and rivals to reassess trade agreements, employing tariffs as instruments of pressure and negotiation.
“China possesses numerous strategies at its disposal,” noted Bryan Burack, a senior policy advisor focused on China and the Indo-Pacific at the Heritage Foundation. He explained that the Chinese government has a broader range of tools to leverage against the U.S., making it easier for them to press their advantage. This primarily stems from America’s industrial dependencies on China.
“China has been distancing itself from U.S. influence for quite some time,” Burack elaborated. “Thus, many actions perceived as retaliatory are actually part of Xi Jinping’s long-term strategy to reduce reliance on the U.S. and to foster self-sufficiency in crucial technologies. Unfortunately, responding to this will require the U.S. to undergo a painful process of similar decoupling.”
Conversely, Clark Packard, a research fellow at the Cato Institute’s Herbert A. Stiefel Center for Trade Policy Studies, contends that the belief in China’s upper hand is misguided.
“This relationship is of utmost importance,