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JERUSALEM—The reactivation of President Donald Trump’s maximum pressure campaign against the Islamic Republic of Iran has stirred significant concern within the clerical regime in Tehran. Mideast experts highlight this drastic shift from the Biden administration’s conciliatory approach towards a more aggressive strategy aimed at curbing Iran’s ambitions.
On Tuesday, Trump cautioned Iranian leaders that any attempts on his life would lead to severe repercussions, stating that his advisers would ensure the country is “obliterated.” This strong rhetoric appears to have captured the attention of Iranian officials.
Reacting to Trump’s renewed pressure, Iranian Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi emphasized that addressing the nuclear weapons issue is achievable. He articulated, “If the main issue is ensuring that Iran does not pursue nuclear weapons, this is achievable and not a difficult matter.” Moreover, he dismissed the efficacy of the maximum pressure approach, labeling it a “failed experiment that, if repeated, will only lead to further failure.” Despite his comments, Araghchi did not address Trump’s recent sanctions targeting Iran’s oil exports and its backing of terrorist organizations.
Yossi Mansharof, an Iran analyst at the Misgav Institute for National Security and Zionist Strategy in Israel, provided insight into the economic ramifications of past sanctions. He noted, “Despite the oil sanctions on Iran, data from the Energy Information Administration (EIA) reveals that the regime’s oil revenue surged to $144 billion in the early years of the Biden presidency, significantly higher than the previous Trump administration period.”
Mansharof further criticized the Biden administration for applying sanctions without strict enforcement, allowing Iran to uphold economic stability through oil exports. This duality in approach reflects a flawed strategy of attempting to engage Iran diplomatically while overlooking its continued oil smuggling operations.
The reinstatement of Trump’s pressure campaign has garnered mixed reactions. While Mansharof supports this strategy, he expressed concern over Iran’s advancements in nuclear capabilities, stating, “It remains uncertain whether economic pressure alone is adequate. Military pressure on Iran is necessary to disrupt its activities and convey a decisive message regarding its nuclear intentions.”
Both Republican and Democratic administrations have recognized Iran as the world’s leading state sponsor of terrorism. Trump’s presidential memorandum to reinstate maximum pressure aims to obstruct Iran’s nuclear pathways while countering its malign influence abroad. Notably, Iran continues to fund terrorist organizations such as Hamas and Hezbollah, further complicating regional stability.
Dan Diker, President of the Jerusalem Center for Security and Foreign Affairs, highlighted the implications of Trump’s renewed strategy. He remarked, “Trump’s maximum pressure campaign starkly contrasts the Biden administration’s more defensive measures toward Iran.” He noted that the initial implementation of maximum pressure by Trump effectively bankrupted the regime and solidified U.S. influence in a volatile Middle East without necessitating direct military involvement.
The Joint Comprehensive Plan of Action (JCPOA), a former cornerstone of American foreign policy towards Iran, aimed to restrict the nation’s nuclear ambitions in exchange for economic incentives. However, following his withdrawal from the JCPOA in 2018, Trump characterized the agreement as “the worst deal in history,” claiming it failed to halt Iran’s nuclear weapon aspirations while enabling terrorism financing.
Diker underscored the ongoing challenges posed by Iran, stating, “Trump will be confronted by a regime that continues to extend its network of terror throughout the region, particularly in areas like the West Bank, all while engaging in diplomatic overtures to counter U.S. efforts to isolate them.”
As the geopolitical landscape evolves, the effectiveness of Trump’s maximum pressure campaign remains uncertain. Tensions are likely to escalate as both sides navigate a complex web of diplomacy, economic sanctions, and military strategy. With Iran’s ambitions on the table, how the U.S. will address these challenges in the future remains a pivotal question.
Fox News Digital’s Alexandra Koch contributed to this report.