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A recent national poll has emerged, signaling a potential uptick in President Donald Trump’s approval ratings for the first time since he resumed office in January. This Reuters/Ipsos poll, conducted on May 12 and 13, reveals a 44 percent approval and 52 percent disapproval rating for the president. While this two-point rise falls within the survey’s margin of error, it marks a notable moment in the current administration’s evaluation.
The increase in Trump’s numbers may be tied to his management of the economy. The poll demonstrates that 39 percent of adults across the nation approve of Trump’s economic handling, representing a three-point gain from the previous month.
This surge in approval comes on the heels of a rally in the stock market, which followed a truce in the ongoing trade war between the United States and China, as well as the signing of a preliminary trade agreement with the United Kingdom. This agreement marks a shift after Trump implemented significant tariffs on various countries about six weeks ago.
The initial announcement of these tariffs in early April instigated a trade war that rattled financial markets and raised concerns about an impending recession. However, easing some of these trade measures appears to have alleviated public anxiety regarding economic downturns. The new poll indicates that 69 percent of surveyed individuals express worry about a recession, which is a decrease from 76 percent recorded a month earlier. Additionally, concerns about the stock market dropped by seven points, now standing at 60 percent.
Colin Reed, a seasoned Republican strategist, commented that Trump remains pragmatic regarding the tough decisions required to advance his agenda. Reed emphasized that the president’s voters will likely support him through challenging times, as he attempts to guide the economy towards stability.
With approximately 150 days remaining until the midterms, Reed noted the urgency for Trump to make impactful decisions that will resonate positively with the electorate.
Despite the recent uptick, many national polls indicate that Trump’s approval ratings remain in negative territory. His rating has shifted from an earlier positive position when he commenced his latest term nearly four months ago. According to the latest Fox News poll conducted from April 18-21, Trump recorded a 44 percent approval and 55 percent disapproval rate.
Analyzing the average across recent national surveys reveals that the president’s approval rating is approximately four points underwater, although this reflects slight improvement relative to the prior month.
The economy, particularly the issue of inflation, has consistently been a substantial concern for voters. This factor significantly influenced the approval ratings of former President Joe Biden throughout his presidency and played a crucial role in Trump’s electoral success in November. The economic turbulence has been a recurring theme in Trump’s fluctuating poll numbers this year.
Political analyst Wayne Lesperance from New England College noted that the start of Trump’s second term did not unfold as anticipated by him and his supporters. Promises regarding inflation and interest rates seem delayed, with constant media attention drawn to various White House distractions.
However, Lesperance also pointed to emerging positive indicators. Potential trade agreements with the United Kingdom, China, and India might yield favorable outcomes from Trump’s tariff strategies. Coupled with a recovering stock market and reduced gas prices as summer approaches, these developments may cultivate a sense of reassurance among the public.
In summary, while President Trump’s current approval ratings reflect mixed sentiments, there is a glimmer of hope with recent economic performance and trade negotiations. As the political landscape evolves, it will be crucial to watch how these elements influence public perception heading into a pivotal election season.